Teachers are over-estimating the A Level grades of ethnic minority students by two or more grades, research finds

The Telegraph is reporting that teachers are over-estimating the A Level grades of ethnic minority students by two or more grades because they want to boost their chances of going to university, a new UCAS study has suggested.

Researchers analysed 600,000 English 18 year old applicants between 2010 and 2015 with three or more A levels.

The report said: “Even when other factors like GCSE attainment are taken into account teachers seem to predict higher grades relative to final outcomes for applicants from disadvantaged areas, and applicants in the Asian, Black, mixed and other ethnic groups.”

Alan Smithers, director of the Centre for Education and Employment Research at Buckingham University, said: “Teachers want to do their best for their pupils and this inclines them to be over-optimistic about the A-level grades that will be achieved.”

Mary Curnock Cook, UCAS’ chief executive, said: “University admissions staff understand that predictions represent an optimistic forecast of an applicant’s potential. 

“The increase in over-prediction of grades over time has not materially altered the pattern of admissions and universities are still admitting students who have the potential to succeed on their chosen courses.”

More at: Teachers are over-estimating the A Level grades of ethnic minority students by two or more grades, research finds

Do you believe teachers deliberately inflate their predictions? Or maybe this is something which they are unaware of doing? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below or on Twitter. ~ Nellie

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