The TES is reporting new research suggesting more than half of teachers’ forecasts for their pupils’ GCSE and A-level grades are wrong, and staff have a tendency to be too optimistic about results.
The findings from the OCR board, shared exclusively with TES, show that accuracy is worse now than in previous years. Despite this, greater emphasis will be placed on teachers’ predictions of student performance in the wake of the government’s overhaul of A-levels…
Independent schools are the best at predicting their students’ A-level grades, the OCR research shows. In 2014 they produced correct forecasts for 50 per cent of their pupils.
Grammar schools came second, with 47 per cent of their forecasts proving to be correct.
Next were academies at 42 per cent, followed by comprehensives and sixth-form colleges, which were right in 41 per cent of cases.
FE colleges came last, with just 36 per cent of their forecasts proving correct…
For more on this article, get the 7th August edition of TES
Which, as the full article goes on to suggest, makes things a bit of a lottery when it comes to university admissions, especially as AS level grades will be available in far fewer cases than before.
Another reason why it perhaps makes more sense and would be fairer to look at applying for university places after A-level grades have been awarded and not before?
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